***Replication Code for Time-Series Models in "The Black Market Blues"

**Table 1
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 

**Table D2
reg d.approval l.approval d.bmpgfd l.bmpgfd d.cepo1 l.cepo1 d.rer1 l.rer1  d.gdpgrowth l.gdpgrowth  d.bppinflation l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval d.bmpgfd l.bmpgfd d.cepo1 l.cepo1 d.rer1 l.rer1  d.gdpgrowth l.gdpgrowth  d.bppinflation l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval d.bmpgfd l.bmpgfd d.cepo1 l.cepo1 d.rer1 l.rer1  d.gdpgrowth l.gdpgrowth  d.bppinflation l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2

*Table D3
reg d.approval l.approval l.l.d.bmpgfd l.l.l.bmpgfd l.l.d.cepo1 l.l.l.cepo1 l.l.d.rer1 l.l.l.rer1  l.l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.l.gdpgrowth  l.l.d.bppinflation l.l.l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval l.l.d.bmpgfd l.l.l.bmpgfd l.l.d.cepo1 l.l.l.cepo1 l.l.d.rer1 l.l.l.rer1  l.l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.l.gdpgrowth  l.l.d.bppinflation l.l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.l.d.bmpgfd l.l.l.bmpgfd l.l.d.cepo1 l.l.l.cepo1 l.l.d.rer1 l.l.l.rer1  l.l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.l.gdpgrowth  l.l.d.bppinflation l.l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2

*Table D4
reg d.net l.net l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.net l.net l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.net l.net l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bluerer l.l.bluerer l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bluerer l.l.bluerer l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bluerer l.l.bluerer l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2

*Table D5 - existence of black market
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmp10dummy l.l.bmp10dummy l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmp10dummy l.l.bmp10dummy l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmp10dummy l.l.bmp10dummy l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 

*Table D6
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.commodityprice l.l.commodityprice
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.commodityprice l.l.commodityprice
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.commodityprice l.l.commodityprice
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.ustreas l.l.ustreas
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.ustreas l.l.ustreas
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.ustreas l.l.ustreas

*Table D7 
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.primfiscbal l.l.primfiscbal
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.primfiscbal l.l.primfiscbal
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.primfiscbal l.l.primfiscbal
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.indicelider l.l.indicelider
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.indicelider l.l.indicelider
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.indicelider l.l.indicelider

*Table D8
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.m3growth l.l.m3growth
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.m3growth l.l.m3growth
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.m3growth l.l.m3growth
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.netexport l.l.netexport
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.netexport l.l.netexport
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.netexport l.l.netexport

*Table D9 
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation l.d.reservegrowth l.l.reservegrowth
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time l.d.reservegrowth l.l.reservegrowth
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 l.d.reservegrowth l.l.reservegrowth

**Table D10
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepoany1 l.l.cepoany1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation 
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepoany1 l.l.cepoany1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepoany1 l.l.cepoany1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo41 l.l.cepo41 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation 
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo41 l.l.cepo41 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo41 l.l.cepo41 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2

*Table D11
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.ceposum51 l.l.ceposum51 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation 
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.ceposum51 l.l.ceposum51 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.ceposum51 l.l.ceposum51 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2

**Table D12
reg d.alfonsin l.alfonsin l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.alfonsin l.alfonsin l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.alfonsin l.alfonsin l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 
reg d.menem l.menem l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.menem l.menem l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.menem l.menem l.d.bmpgfd l.l.bmpgfd l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 

*Table D13
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpalfonsin l.l.bmpalfonsin l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpalfonsin l.l.bmpalfonsin l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpalfonsin l.l.bmpalfonsin l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpmenem l.l.bmpmenem l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpmenem l.l.bmpmenem l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation time
reg d.approval l.approval l.d.bmpmenem l.l.bmpmenem l.d.cepo1 l.l.cepo1 l.d.rer1 l.l.rer1  l.d.gdpgrowth l.l.gdpgrowth  l.d.bppinflation l.l.bppinflation electioncycle electioncycle2 
